Showing posts with label books. Show all posts
Showing posts with label books. Show all posts

Thursday, December 29, 2016

Book List Refreshed 29/12/2016

I have removed:

The Secret History of the Blitz by Joshua Levine
This Changes Everything by Naomi Klein
@War by Shane Harris
Excellent Sheep by William Deresiewicz
Hard Choices by Donald Low and Sudhir Thomas Vadaketh

I have added:

Reclaiming Conversation by Sherry Turkle
Silk Roads by Peter Frankopan
The Age of Stagnation by Satyajit Das
Killing the Host by Michael Hudson
Hillbilly Elegy by JD Vance
Green Illusions by Ozzie Zehner
The Collapse of Complex Societies by Joseph Tainter
Immoderate Greatness by William Ophuls
Narconomics by Tom Wainwright
Rigged by Dean Baker


Sunday, September 13, 2015

Book List Refreshed 13 September 2015

I have removed:

Made to Break by Giles Slade
Animal Spirits with Chinese Characteristics by Mark A. DeWeaver
Hitlerland by Andrew Nagorski
Treasure Islands by Nicholas Shaxson
Quiet by Susan Cain
Private Equity at Work by Eileen Appelbaum and Rosemary Batt
Dirt by David Montgomery
In Praise of Hard Industries by Eamonn Fingleton

I have added:

Hard Choices by Donald Low and Sudhir Vadaketh
@War by Shane Harris
How We Learn by Benedict Carey
Excellent Sheep by William Deresiewicz
Hooked by Nir Eyal
The Secret History of the Blitz by Joshua Levine
This Changes Everything: Capitalism vs the Climate by Naomi Klein
Taking the Risk Out of Democracy by Alex Carey



Monday, December 8, 2014

Book List Refreshed 8 Dec 2014

I have removed:

Blood of Dragons by Robin Hobb
The End of the Suburbs by Leigh Gallagher
Reinventing Collapes by Dmitry Orlov
Full Planet, Empty Plates by Lester R. Brown
Tiger Head, Snake Tails by Jonathan Fenby
The First Muslim by Lesley Hazleton

I have added:

Dirt by David Montgomery
Made to Break by Giles Slade
In Praise of Hard Industries by Eamonn Fingleton
Animal Spirits with Chinese Characteristics by Mark A. DeWeaver
Hitlerland by Andrew Nagorski
Private Equity at Work by Eileen Appelbaum and Rosemary Batt

Tuesday, October 1, 2013

Book List Refreshed 1/10/2013

I have removed:

Without Conscience by Robert D. Hare
A Memory of Light by Robert Jordan and Brandon Sanderson
The Race for What's Left by Michael T. Klare
OB Marker by Cheong Yip Seng

I have added:

Full Planet, Empty Plates by Lester R. Brown
The First Muslim by Lesley Hazleton
The End of the Suburbs by Leigh Gallagher
Reinventing Collapse by Dmitry Orlov

Wednesday, March 13, 2013

Book List Refreshed 13/03/2013


I have removed:


The Honest Truth About Dishonesty by Dan Ariely
The Vanishing Face of Gaia by James Lovelock
The Wisdom of Whores by Elizabeth Pisani
The Porning of America by Kevin M. Scott and Carmine Sarracino


I have added:

A Memory of Light by Robert Jordan and Brian Sanderson
Blood of Dragons by Robin Hobb
OB Markers by Cheong Yip Seng
The Race for What's Left by Michael T. Klare

Tuesday, November 27, 2012

Book List Refreshed 27/11/2012

I have removed:

Predictably Irrational by Dan Ariely
The Upside of Irrationality by Dan Ariely
The Art of Choosing by Sheena Iyengar
Currency Wars by James Rickards

I have added:

The Honest Truth About Dishonesty by Dan Ariely
The Vanishing Face of Gaia by James Lovelock
Treasure Islands by Nicholas Shaxson
The Porning of America by Kevin M. Scott and Carmine Sarracino

Tuesday, August 28, 2012

Book List Refreshed 28/08/2012

I have removed:

Born to Run by Christopher McDougall
Dying of Money by Jens O. Parsson
Cornered by Barry C. Lynn
Cyber War by Richard A. Clarke and Robert Knake

I have added:

The Wisdom of Whores by Elizabeth Pisani
Tiger Head, Snake Tails by Jonathan Fenby
Predictably Irrational by Dan Ariely
The Upside of Irrationality by Dan Ariely

Monday, May 14, 2012

Book List Refreshed 14/5/2012

I have removed:

How to Disappear by Frank M. Ahearn and Eileen C. Horan
Extreme Money by Satyajit Das
Factions and Finance in China by Victor C. Shih
When Money Dies by Adam Fergusson

I have added:

Cyber War by Richard Clarke
Cornered by Barry C. Lynne
Quiet by Susan Cain
Currency Wars by James Rickards

Sunday, November 27, 2011

Book List Refreshed

I have removed:

Aftershock by David Wiedemer et al
Tomatoland by Barry Estabrook
Red Capitalism by Carl E. Walter and Fraser J. T. Howie
The Spirit Level by Kate Pickett and Richard Wilkinson

I have added:

Extreme Money by Satyajit Das
Factions and Finance in China by Victor C. Shih
The Art of Choosing by Sheena Iyengar (recommended)
Without Conscience by Robert D. Hare

Wednesday, August 31, 2011

Book List Refreshed! 31/08/2011

Apologies for not blogging more frequently, but life has been...complicated lately.

Also, current affairs have lately been heavy on the Presidential Elections. I have had little interest in PE 2011, hence the dearth of posts. My only comment on the PE results, which probably would have been noted elsewhere in more popular blogs, is that it shows that Singapore's political center (composed of swing voters), has grown larger over the years, and will continue to grow larger. This is due in no small part to the Generational Shift Effect and the die-off of a large part of the PAP's core base.

In other words, the electorate in Singapore is maturing, and will more closely resemble that of developed countries, where win margins are narrower and political parties have to appeal more to the center bloc of swing voters.

[That is, if future global economic dislocations do not lead to a rise in political extremism in the years ahead. There is a non-zero probability of this happening in many countries.

And by "this", I mean the political extremism. The global economic dislocations are a certainty; it's only a question of when.]

As for my Book List, which this post is ostensibly about, I have removed:

America's Bubble Economy by David Wiedemer et al
The Holy Grail of Macroeconomics by Richard Koo
The Next Decade by George Friedman
Brilliant by Jane Brox

I have added:

Aftershock by David Wiedemer et al
Tomatoland by Barry Estabrook
Born to Run by Christopher McDougall
Red Capitalism by Carl Walter and Fraser Howie 

Thursday, June 9, 2011

Book List Refreshed! 09/06/2011

I have removed:

Making Sense of Life by Evelyn Fox Keller
Richistan by Robert Frank
Econned by Yves Smith
The Post-Catastrophe Economy by Eric Janszen

I have added:

Brilliant by Jane Brox
The Spirit Level by Kate Pickett and Richard Wilkinson
How to Disappear by Frank Ahearn and Eileen Horan
Dying of Money by Jens Parsson (Highly, highly recommended. Free downloads available in many places) 

Tuesday, March 29, 2011

Book List Refreshed! 29/03/2011

I have removed:

Power Hungry by Robert Bryce
Rising Powers, Shrinking Planet by Michael T. Klare
The Shallows by Nicholas Carr
Tokyo Vice by Jake Adelstein

I have added:

Econned by Yves Smith
The Holy Grail of Macroeconomics by Richard C. Koo
Making Sense of Life by Evelyn Fox Keller
The Next Decade by George Friedman

Saturday, November 27, 2010

Book List Refreshed!

I haven't been blogging lately because I've been busy with a number of things. Just out-pro'ed from my annual Indentured/Conscription Training (ICT) which took away an additional 2 weeks of my life's time.

[And which cost me an estimated $200 - $600 in lost employer's CPF contributions and increased tax liabilities from artificially raised take-home pay. Yes, PAP, I keep a detailed count, thanks to your fine examples of governance over the years, and I will certainly "better the instruction".

Some of my friends lost quite a bit more in the 2 weeks, like lost accounts, sales and commissions.]

I will also be in Nepal in a week or so for paragliding lessons, so I definitely won't be blogging for a while.

On the plus side, I had a chance to catch up on my reading, so here's my book list refreshed.

I have removed:

The Art of Travel by Alain de Botton
Lessons from Private Equity any Company can Use by Hugh Macarthur and Orit Gadiesh
This Time is Different by Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
The Pose Method by Nicholas Romanov

I have added:

America's Bubble Economy by David Wiedemer et al
Richistan by Robert Frank
The Postcatastrophe Economy by Eric Janszen
When Money Dies by Adam Fergusson (which is available for free download here.)

Tuesday, October 5, 2010

Book List Refreshed!

I have removed:

And then there's this by Bill Wasik
Falling Behind by Robert H. Frank
Liquidated by Karen Ho
Constructing Singapore by Michael T. Barr and Ziatko Skrbis

I have added:

The Pose Method of Running by Nicholas Romanov
Rising Powers, Shrinking Planet by Michael T. Klare
The Shallows by Nicholas Carr
Tokyo Vice by Jake Adelstein

Thursday, July 8, 2010

Liquidated - Parallels between Wall Street and the Singapore Civil Service

I recently finished reading Liquidated by Karen Ho. It wasn't an easy read; in fact I skimmed through large chunks of it. Satyajit Das was right in saying that it reads like a doctoral dissertation.

Still, what struck me were some of the similarities between Wall Street investment bankers and how the Singapore civil service governs the country. Perhaps because I had been reading Constructing Singapore concurrently that the similarities popped right out. The parallels may or may not be spurious though; I'll leave that up to the readers of this post to decide for themselves. 

First: Wall Street investment banks like to hire the best students from the best universities. Harvard and Princeton are the main hiring grounds, and potential hires are feted and treated like rock stars. Although I attended a relatively second tier institution in the United States during my time in university, even I felt the lure of the investment banks. All week during career week, students came walking out of the Glass Pavilion (an exhibition space in my school) carrying coveted swag from the banks.

Ho in her book postulates that the reason why Wall Street banks focus their hiring almost exclusively on the top universities is because they in effect leverage on the stellar reputation of top-tier universities to give themselves the sheen of prestige and extraordinary capability. That in turn helps to capture business. e.g. Goldman Sachs hires only the best students from Harvard. If you hire Goldman to represent your corporation, you've got the smartest guys in the room playing on your team.

It's not important that the people the investment banks hire really are individuals of the highest calibre. What's really the most important thing is that the perception that Wall Street investment banks hire only the best legitimizes why they can charge the astronomical fees they charge and how they can get away with the financial equivalent of murder when things fall apart. After all, if the smartest guys couldn't have saved the day, whocouldhaveknown???

In my mind, this doesn't seem so different from how the Singapore government insists on academic excellence in its highly credentialed acolytes, and has metrics like the infamous Current Estimated Potential. It's part of the reason why the government can make the boldfaced claim that we have to pay the highest ministerial salaries in the world to keep the good people we have in government, even if the actual performance of our ministers seems to be mediocre unremarkable. 

Second: In her book, Ho talks about the myth of "increasing shareholder value". It's like a religion to investment banker types. Everyone in investment banking drinks the Kool-aid and uses the shareholder value argument to justify all kinds of business actions, such as mergers and acquisitions, even though years of academic research have shown that M&As typically destroy more value than they create. But investment bankers can't just sit on their asses doing nuffin'. Got to git them fees rollin' in.

The irony of course, is that the more bankers talk about creating or increasing shareholder value, the less they actually improve it. The opposite is truer more often than not.

Within the Singapore context, the concept of shareholder value is obviously irrelevant. Instead, here, GDP growth is the overriding concern. And every civil servant in Singapore is subject to what I call the tyranny of KPIs.

With regard to GDP growth, the problem is not growth per se, but the quality and sustainability of that growth. What use is growth if it is goosed by massively unsustainable immigration policies, finanical repression (think forced savings, high residential property prices, and low interest rates paid on depositors' funds) and suppressed wages? Worse, the positive aspects of growth are not spread evenly but accrue to those at the top of the income ladder. Yet we reward our highest civil servants and elected officeholders chiefly on the basis of this number. Is it any wonder that we have achieved spectacular GDP growth, but that the fruit of this Pyrrhic victory is bitter indeed?

As for KPIs, the concept is not unsound in theory, but excessive adherence to KPIs blinds the user to other, less tangible measures of performance. If something cannot or will not be measured, then it can't be important, can it? One is reminded of that story of the man searching for his lost keys beneath the streetlamp on a darkened street.

Like the red herring of shareholder value that bankers put forth, we have ministers and CEOs and other high priests telling us that such and such KPIs have been met or even surpassed. That everything is going according to plan. Yet that fails to assuage the disquietude in so many of us, that there are things happening here which are viscerally wrong. Like income inequality. Housing (un)affordability. Rising costs and the fast fading possibility of a comfortable retirement. Or any retirement for that matter. Of how this Singapore ... this place, just doesn't feel like home anymore.

Third: The investment banking industry has notoriously low job security. Job turnover is tremendous. You would think that investment bankers, hired and fired so easily, would have some empathy for the massive numbers of layoffs they're directly responsible for when they advise their client companies to layoff and outsource operations to cheaper countries. Turns out to be the opposite, according to Ho's research. Apparently, it is precisely because bankers have to hustle all the time in their highly volatile industry that they have precious little sympathy for others who can't do the same. Not being able to scramble when the times call for it is considered by bankers to be a personal failing rather than an unfortunate consequence of circumstances.

The highest levels of government in Singapore operate the same way. It's dog-eat-dog within the Admin Service, as is well known, and everyone there aspires to be the top dog. As a purported meritocracy, it was designed that way. A fall from grace from that height would be ... crushing. As a corollary, our senior commanders in the SAF devote great amounts of energy feathering their own nests and constantly keep half an eye on that coveted ministerial, GLC or statboard position for post retirement.

In such a situation, the problems that ordinary people face become mere abstractions, to be described in clinical terms like "structural unemployment". The same sentiment underlies brazen, clueless and flippant exhortations of workers to work "cheaper, better, faster".

That the highest levels of our government are paid handsomely for their work could in fact, be part of the problem, and it's not just me saying this. Research from Harvard indicates that "The More Leaders Make, the Meaner They Get."

Wednesday, June 23, 2010

Book List Refreshed!

I have removed:

The Pleasures and Sorrows of Work by Alain de Botton
Poorly Made in China by Paul Midler
Cheap: The high cost of discount culture by Ellen Ruppel Shell
Toolbox for Sustainable City Living by Scott Kellogg and Stacy Pettigrew

I have added:

The Art of Travel by Alain de Botton
Lessons from Private Equity any Company can Use by Orit Gadiesh and Hugh MacArthur
This Time is Different by Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Power Hungry by Robert Bryce

Sunday, April 11, 2010

Why some visitors come to Singapore

Here's an excerpt from a book I read a while back, Poorly Made in China. Given the growing importance of China to the world, I had felt I needed to know more about doing business in the country, even if I actually am not in the business line. The unexpected finding was seeing how this explained some observations in Singapore. If you've ever wondered why visitors from places like Africa come to Singapore and buy massive amounts of goods from Mustafa or Sim Lim Square, here's the answer.

(If you want to know more about Poorly Made in China, click on the link on my Currently Reading list on the right.)

Excerpted from Poorly Made in China:

Why would a Chinese manufacturer willingly make a product for a dollar and sell it for only a dollar? Chinese manufacturers did not have the same concerns for covering their fixed costs as their counterparts in capitalist countries had. Could it be that this was all part of a long-term strategy and that “profit zero” was economically efficient?



Americans somehow imagined that Chinese factories existed to manufacture merchandise only for the United States, but this was not the view from China at all.

From China, the world appeared divided into two parts. One half of the world was made up of countries where intellectual property rights enjoyed wide protection. Because patents and trademarks were honored, there was, not coincidentally, a great deal of investment going on in the area of product design and marketing. Order sizes in this first market – which included the United States and Canada, as well as a number of Western European countries – tended to be larger. Chinese manufacturers favored importers from these economies, not so much because of their volume, but more for what they could lend in the way of design and marketing. Manufacturers gave considerable discounts in order to entice the first-market importers to place orders in China.

The other half of the world was made up of secondary economies where intellectual property was not well protected. In this second market, not coincidentally, investment in product design was low. China still wished to do business with this other half of the world because while their volumes were low and they did not provide much in the way of design, they tended to pay higher prices for goods out of China.

One of the features that characterized China’s export market in the first decade of the twenty-first century was the way in which it took advantage of being at the very center of the globalization phenomenon. China was at a crossroads of international trade, and importers were arriving, not just from places like the United States, but also from Latin America and the Middle East – economies where trademark and copyright were not observed. Manufacturers that produced products using unique, original designs provided by importers realized that they were perfectly positioned to take advantage of the situation by moving designs from one part of the world to the other, while earning a premium in the process. This was not customer segmentation, but an arbitrage opportunity.

The United States was one of the wealthiest economies in the world, and yet Americans paid less for their products than consumers did elsewhere. It was in fact one of the great ironies of the global economy. Products that retailed in the United States for only $1 in a U.S. dollar store could be found in the developing world selling for $2 or $3, and it was one reason why tourists from poorer economies took their trips to the United States as a shopping spree (just like in Singapore; my emphasis).

Many of the manufacturers with whom I worked realized about half their revenue from just one or two customers from this first market. These customers were either from the United States or Canada, or they were large customers from leading economies such as Japan, Germany, or France. The balance of their business was made up of anywhere from 50 to 100 smaller importers, and many of these were from the second market. First-market importers might generate no profit at all, and a manufacturer’s entire bottom line could, instead, derive solely from second-market customers.

An example in counterfeiting illustrates how some manufacturers took advantage of the arbitrage opportunity in an outright sense: A manufacturer accepts an order for 500,000 pieces from a first-market importer that produces a unique design. Rather than merely filling the order, the supplier keeps the machines running and its people working until it produces a total of 700,000 pieces. The original customer gets his order for a half-million pieces, and then the factory sells the surplus of 200,000 pieces at a considerable markup.

For manufacturers willing to engage in an illicit practice of this kind, it made sense to agree to produce the original order at close to cost. The margin that could be earned on surplus product in some categories easily exceeded 100 to 200 percent, and trying to earn a modest 10 percent profit on the original order might mean losing out to a competitor who would bid lower.

Intense competition was a major driving force in China, and any manufacturer that actually attempted to work out a profit margin for itself on an original order might find a competitor pricing the initial order at cost or sometimes below cost. The uniqueness of the product was what mattered most, and it had everything to do with how aggressively some factories quoted. Some of the smarter importers I have met, those who actually understood how the game worked in China, went out of their way to suggest that their product was unique – in other words, that they had something that might be counterfeited and sold through other channels.

Book List Refreshed!

I have removed:

Reflections on the Revolution in Europe by Christopher Caldwell
The Corporation by Joel Bakan
Dear Mr Buffett by Janet Tavakoli
The Next 100 Years by George Friedman

I have added:

And Then There's This by Bill Wasik
Falling Behind by Robert H. Frank
Liquidated by Karen Ho
Constructing Singapore by Michael D. Barr

Friday, April 2, 2010

A rising tide lifts all boats?

The PM recently rubbished income inequality as being of little importance.

There is an excellent book for those who wonder why people like myself are deeply concerned with income inequality and why it matters to modern society - Falling Behind: How Income Inequality Harms the Middle Class, by Robert H. Frank.

Very briefly, Frank argues that there are two kinds of goods, positional, and non-positional, and rising inequality forces people to devote more resources to purchasing positional goods, neglecting the non-positional, and leading to a loss of social welfare across the whole of society.

What are positional goods? They are goods for which the relative rank of what the consumer consumes has importance.

There are lots of good examples in Singapore. Education for instance. A university degree is practically a requirement now for a person to make a decent living. 30 years ago, it wasn't. The reference point for education has shifted upwards so that most people view a university degree as a necessity. Hence the deep unhappiness whenever tutition costs are raised. Housing is another. Oh, we're not talking about luxurious condos or bungalows. But consider this, it is common wisdom in Singapore that because of the 1 km proximity rule, housing that is nearby to "good" schools is considerably more expensive than comparable housing located elsewhere. Clearly, not all HDB flats are built equal. And getting, or rather, not getting, the "best" HDB flats could literally seal the fate of your kids.

And for a more pan-national perspective, we can consider defense spending as the ultimate positional good. To illustrate this, let's rework what the mainstream media article wrote:  "Worried about low defense spending? What's important is not the absolute gap between Singapore and Malaysia/Indonesia, but whether Singapore's defense spending is moving up."

Does that statement sound absurd? Of course it does. What matters is how much more we are spending than our neighbors, not how much we are spending in aggregate.

Positional goods are real; concern with the positional nature of goods should not be dismissed or belittled or deemed irrational. Context matters. And it isn't simply just a matter of keeping up with the Joneses or about the politics of envy. It's just that rising inequality raises community standards of what is deemed normative in the community.

So how does rising inequality hurt Singaporeans? 

Singaporeans today are spending more on a whole range of positional goods, to their own detriment. It is akin to a positional goods arms race: We are spending more on housing (got to be close to those good schools!), on raising children (think tuition, enrichment classes, childcare), on education (both for our kids and ourselves - retraining, reskilling, postgraduate degrees), and even, basely, on consumer goods.

Think of it this way, at a job interview, who gets hired? The best candidate of course. But all candidates being equal, would you rather hire the guy dressed in the sharp Zegna suit or the typical guy in shirt and slacks? Never mind that the Zegna guy is a trust fund baby and can well afford his threads. The next job interview, everyone shows up in a Zegna suit. Problem is, every other candidate put the suit on their credit card, resulting in four-figure debt.

That's how income inequality hurts the middle class. Rising income inequality stretches the boundaries of what are considered normative, because the rich invariably purchase the things that give them a leg up in whatever they're doing. This isn't about envy, it's about how people try to keep up in order to achieve things that are really important. Jobs, schools, kids' futures, a better quality of life for the family.

In Falling Behind, which speaks specifically to an American audience, Frank lists the ways middle class folks use to "afford" to keep up. The list isn't pretty. They are: working longer hours (to which I would add increasing prevalence of dual income households), reduced savings (that certainly sounds familiar: CPF accounts emptied by housing anyone?), increased indebtedness (ditto), longer commutes (yes, yes, yes), growing sleep deprivation (maybe, maybe not) and public service cutbacks (not so much here).

I would add another way that is more uniquely Singaporean. Fewer kids. Rising income inequality means fewer kids, as Singaporeans marshall their resources to pin their hopes on just one or two offspring.  The last I checked, encouraging Singaporeans to have more kids was a government priority. Income inequality isn't important...really?

Thursday, October 8, 2009

Book List Refreshed!

I have removed:

Bait and Switch by Barbara Ehrenreich
Making the Foreign Serve China by Anne-Marie Brady
The Corrosion of Character by Richard Sennett
China Shakes the World by James Kynge

I have added:

Cheap by Ellen Ruppel Shell
Reflections on the Revolution in Europe by Christopher Caldwell
Dear Mr Buffett by Janet Tavakoli
Toolbox for Sustainable City Living by Scott Kellogg and Stacy Pettigrew